Climate "Study" By Non-Scientist At EPA Is Right's New Cause Celebre

topic posted Wed, July 1, 2009 - 7:42 AM by  Jim
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Climate Skeptic: "I Was Hoping People At EPA Would Pay Attention" To My Work
By Zachary Roth - July 1, 2009, 8:43AM
TPM Muckraker
tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/07/climate_skeptic_i_was_hoping_people_at_epa_would_p.php

Conservatives are jumping up and down over a report by an EPA analyst expressing skepticism about climate change, which, they claim, was suppressed by agency brass because it didn't conform to Obama administration orthodoxy on global warming. The story has sparked explosive claims, on Fox News and other right-wing outlets, that the EPA censored scientific data for political reasons. And Monday, Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) called for an outright criminal investigation into the matter.

But it's hard to blame EPA for not paying much attention to the study. And it's more than a little ironic that DC Republicans have chosen its author as their new standard-bearer in the defense of pure science against politics. Because the author, EPA veteran Al Carlin, is an economist, not a climate scientist. EPA says no one at the agency solicited the report. And Carlin appears to have taken up the global warming topic largely as a hobby on his own time. In fact, a NASA climatologist has called the report -- whose existence was first publicized last week by the industry-funded Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) -- "a ragbag collection of un-peer reviewed web pages, an unhealthy dose of sunstroke, a dash of astrology and more cherries than you can poke a cocktail stick at."

Still, the report's author, veteran agency economist Al Carlin, doesn't sound happy with the way things played out. In an interview with TPMmuckraker, Carlin talked of the extraordinary effort he put into the study, and lamented the fact that, over the years, a series of skeptical climate-change reports he has produced -- on his own initiative, he said -- have consistently been overlooked by higher-ups at the agency. "I was hoping that people at EPA would pay attention" to the studies, he said. "I haven't seen too much evidence of that."

Carlin, who said he joined the EPA three months after its founding in 1971, explained that, despite working as an economist for EPA's National Center for Environmental Economics (NCEE), he'd been doing research on issues of climate-change science for the last five or six years on his own initiative. He said that much of this work -- which can be found on his personal website -- advocates an approach to addressing global warming which he calls "stratospheric geo-engineering." "It would actually work, and it would cost three to five orders of magnitude less" than regulating carbon dioxide, he said.

True, the studies he's produced were "not specifically commissioned by the EPA," Carlin conceded. But he said his boss at the agency was aware of them, and added that they've been published, though "not all in academic journals."

The recent controversy first emerged last week, when CEI released emails exchanged between Carlin and his bosses, concerning a report Carlin had authored in response to an EPA document on global warming. Carlin explained to TPMmuckraker that EPA had circulated a draft of an "endangerment finding" on the issue. The finding concluded that global warming is indeed a danger to mankind and should be regulated, and, in keeping with standard procedure, requested feedback from agency staff.

It's unclear whether Carlin was supposed to be a member of the working group of staffers whose input on the document was actively solicited. He says he thought he was, since he was included on emails about the document, and invited to meetings on the issue. But the EPA subsequently said he wasn't.

The topic at hand also may have strayed a bit from his core expertise. Carlin described the report he ultimately produced as "85-90 percent science and 5-10 percent economics." Carlin is an economics PhD, but he described himself as "somewhat unique, in that I have a background in both economics and also in physical sciences," citing an undergraduate degree in physics from the California Institute of Technology. "I've always sort of been on the boundary between science and economics," he said.

Asked whether it was common for EPA staffers to prepare reports on subjects outside the area for which they're officially responsible, Carlin allowed that "it's not normal." But, he said it is done. And he added: "The important thing is from a federal bureaucratic viewpoint, I'm equally well-qualified in both fields."

In any case, Carlin felt strongly when he saw the draft document that it was on weak scientific footing. But he said he only had four days until the deadline to submit comments. "This is not what I normally do," Carlin explained. "I normally write research papers and reports, which take six months to a year. So I was faced with the problem of how to prepare thorough comments within a few days." Ultimately, Carlin -- who declined to give his exact age, but suggested he's around 71 -- pulled out all the stops to produce his study questioning the finding. "I worked very hard," he added.

But Carlin was soon told by a colleague coordinating responses to the draft that there were "reservations" about including Carlin's comments in the finding. Soon afterward, NCEE director Al McGartland informed Carlin that his comments would not be included. McFarland then told Carlin via email not to have any further contact with other EPA staff on the issue of climate change, and not to do any more work on the issue. Those emails and several others were leaked to CEI.

Carlin indicated that the incident was in keeping with his prior experience at the agency, suggesting that his labors of love on global warming have never received the attention they deserve. That was the case, said Carlin, even before the Obama administration took over. "To the best of my knowledge, the Bush administration never followed up on my ideas," he said.

Carlin stressed that he wasn't CEI's source for the emails, saying the first he heard about the story becoming public was when a reporter called him last week asking him to verify the emails. In fact, he said, he was chagrined that a hastily produced draft of his work was being circulated before he had had a chance to polish it up. "I was concerned that, heaven knows, I didn't have time to fix all the problems -- and they still aren't fixed," he said, adding that an updated version of his report had subsequently been put out.

In fact, he said, he'd only been speaking to reporters at all out of a basic belief in openness and transparency. "I could find lots of other things I would rather do," he said. But as a government employee, he added, "I don't think it's appropriate -- for reporters or taxpayers -- to [tell reporters], 'go away.'" Soon after speaking to TPMmuckraker, he appeared on Glenn Beck's show on Fox News, armed with a chart to demonstrate his view that warming isn't happening.

Before hanging up, Carlin made sure to caution that during our interview, he hadn't been speaking for his employer. "The views I expressed are my own, not the EPA's," he said.
posted by:
Jim
offline Jim
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  • I don't know about that guy. Never heard of him before you posted it but:


    This piece from Dr Lindzen is probably the single best, most well written, and most accessible to the lay-person of any article I have seen.
    Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientific Consensus
    www.cato.org/pubs/regula...eg15n2g.html


    Less than half of scientists in the world believe in global warming~!!
    www.dailytech.com/Survey%2B...le8641.htm

    Dr. Timothy Ball and the cold hard facts.
    www.canadafreepress.com/2007/g...507.htm

    Climate extremism. Dr. Timothy Ball
    www.canadafreepress.com/2007/g...007.htm

    Peer reviewed studies chill global warming
    epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm

    Prominent Scientists Reverse Belief in Man-made Global Warming - Now Skeptics
    epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm

    Warming is politics not science
    www.etherzone.com/2007/bend021307.shtml


    Hottest year on record is 1934
    The warmers said (demanded really) that 1998 was the hottest year ever. However the flaws in their “normalization” protocols ( a math game they use to manipulate data) proved to be their downfall. 1938 was and remains the hottest year on record.
    www.dnronline.com/news_details.php
    www.climateaudit.org/
    www.technologyreview.com/Energy/13830/
    data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/...Fig.D.txt


    List of Global Warming Activists, Now Skeptics
    Growing Number Of Major Scientific Figures Convert To Skeptics After Reviewing New Research By Marc Morano May 16, 2007 www.speroforum.com/site/article.asp




    Dr. Gray, an emeritus professor at the atmospheric science department at Colorado State University says Gore is an alarmist.
    www.guardian.co.uk/worldlat...1,00.html


    The sun may play a major role we are in a period of heightened sun spots
    www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml

    Dr. Timothy Ball Climatologist and Geographer says Global Warming is a farse
    www.canadafreepress.com/2007/g...507.htm


    An experiment that hints we are wrong on climate change
    www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...3818.ece

    This is compelling Milankovitch Cycles
    www.homepage.montana.edu/~geol...ov.htm
    www.stopcambridgewindfarm.org.uk/d...tm
    www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~polsen...tro.html

    dangerous to economies
    www.baltimoresun.com/news/op...00.story


    Gore upset about dissenters
    www.newsmax.com/archives/i...34405.shtml


    NASA telling the global warming crowd that without satellite data their models are worthless. Icelandic Ice Sheets
    news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/scien...6069506.stm

    Antarctic Temperature Trend '82- '04 COLDER
    earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsr...s.php3

    Global warming theory is based on politics not good science
    www.hawaiireporter.com/story.aspx

    Michael Lubos has reservations also motls.blogspot.com/2007/02/...kers.html
    www2.blogger.com/profile/1...3247488359


    Oh my, it’s not exceptional it’s normal !!! www.john-daly.com/polar/arctic.htm

    news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/scien...6115644.stm

    Non Skeptical Heretics
    news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/scien...6115644.stm
    www.nytimes.com/glogin
    sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prom....html


    Dissenting Scientists are attacked
    www.opinionjournal.com/extra/


    Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientific Consensus
    www.cato.org/pubs/regula...eg15n2g.html

    Ten facts about global warming
    THEY don’t want you to know
    www.netscape.com/viewstory...l-warming/


    Professor William M Gray of Colorado State University says the current climate phenom’ is natural.
    news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_de...1023334.stm


    Global warming 'not clear cut' news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/scien...1131275.stm

    As to Al Gore’s magical diseases that will kill us all while we are drowning in the floods: He forgot to check with the experts.
    Ooops.
    www.sciencemag.org/cgi/cont...5340/1004

    Metrologists disagree
    www.netscape.com/viewstory...l-warming/

    Many top climatologists disagree
    www.newscientist.com/article...100.html


    more debate
    www.sciencemag.org/cgi/cont...269/1734a


    Bjørn Lomborg - Author of The Skeptical Environmentalist challenges widely held beliefs that the global environment is progressively getting worse.
    www.lomborg.com/books.htm

    Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change - Skeptical of possible negative effects, the center is a non-profit organization specializing in the online publication of scientific research and education developments related to the rising CO2 content of earth's atmosphere.
    www.co2science.org/scripts/...Index.jsp


    Climate Change Menu - Questions if people are really causing climate change.
    www.sovereignty.net/p/clim/


    Competitive Enterprise Institute: Global Warming - Index of CEI research papers, opinion articles, speeches, and other publications on climate change, the Kyoto Treaty, and related topics.
    cei.org/sections/subsection.cfm


    Friends of Science - Offers critical scientific evidence, including a five-piece video, that challenges the premises of the Kyoto Protocol, and presents alternative causes of climate change.
    www.friendsofscience.org/


    Global Warming And Climate Change Issues - A detailed examination of global climate change and related economic and science issues from the American Petroleum Institute web site. api-ec.api.org/ehs/climat...ge_Page.pdf


    Global Warming Hotline - National Center for Policy Analysis site contains hundreds of documents on global warming and the implications of climate change treaties.
    www.ncpa.org/hotlines/global/gwhot.html

    The Global Warming Information Center - Project of the National Center for Public Policy Research; fact sheets, media kits, research, and links critical of the manmade climate change orthodoxy.
    www.nationalcenter.org/Kyoto.html


    Global Warming Lecture from the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine - A 52-minute video lecture noting the absence of deleterious effects due to global warming.
    www.oism.org/oism/s32p686.htm
    But I thought someone said it was debunked?? I guess not nearly so.

    Global Warming Petition Project - Signed by over 19,000 scientists, this petition calls for the US government to reject the Kyoto Protocol.
    www.sitewave.net/pproject/

    Guide to Global Warming - Questions and Answers on Climate Change - Questions and answers to basic global warming questions, from the George C. Marshall Institute.
    www.marshall.org/article.php


    Man and Environment - A short page which questions the harm in environmental change.
    uk.geocities.com/zak_smithson/


    Cant do without a 1975 Article on Global Cooling
    www.freerepublic.com/focus/f...07/posts

    Russia's Chief Economic Adviser Says Cost of Kyoto Too Great - ICCF - Dr. Andrei Illarionov, Pres. Vladimir Putin's chief economic adviser, delivers a presentation called "The Kyoto Protocol: An Assault on economic growth, environment, public safety, science and human civilization itself."
    www.iccfglobal.org/research...hief.html

    Skepticism - Global Warming - Links to articles and resources skeptical of claims made by environmentalists about global warming.
    www.skepticism.net/faq/envi...ndex.html

    The NY Times screws up - again
    www.skepticism.net/articles...0069.html


    Science & Environmental Policy Project - Founded by atmospheric physicist and global-warming skeptic S. Fred Singer; press releases, news articles, scientific studies and other materials available.
    www.sepp.org/


    The Sky is Falling! - Personal site that explores the accounts of global warming with lots of resources and off site links
    www.angelfire.com/pa/sergem...rming.html

    Still Waiting For Greenhouse - Non-believers in global warming present evidence to show that global warming has been grossly exaggerated.
    www.john-daly.com/


    Sunspots at thousand year high
    news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3869753.stm



    Dr. Sami Solanki, Professor (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich), says the Sun is more bright in the last 60 years than over the previous 1090 years.
    www.swissinfo.org/eng/swissinfo.html
    www.astro.phys.ethz.ch/staff/...nf.html


    Global Warming on Pluto Puzzles Scientists
    By Robert Roy Britt
    www.space.com/scienceastr..._021009.html


    The planet and solar system are far more complex than the anthropogenic CO2 theories as an agent of climate change.
    earth.usc.edu/geol150/evo...illenia.html



    The sun is hotter than in the past 1000 years By Michael Leidig and Roya Nikkhah
    Last Updated: 11:15pm BST 17/07/2004
    www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml


    Pluto is undergoing global warming
    web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2002/pluto.html


    Prediction of a global climate change on Jupiter
    www.nature.com/nature/jou...e02470.html

    OH NO~!!!!! Global Warming on MARS~!! Maybe I should turn off the electricity.
    news.nationalgeographic.com/news....html




    Critique of the IPCC report pointing out misstatements and untruths
    www.sepp.org/publication...Feb%2020.pdf

    Peer reviewed critique of the Global Warming Myth
    tinyurl.com/2xrttv


    Dr. Robert Giegengack (a Gore supporter) Thinks the Global Warming myth is crap:
    epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm


    Antarctic Sea Ice Increase~!?!?!??
    www.motherjones.com/blue_mar...ea_i.html


    Skeptics speak out: Five videos & a slew of researchers and scientists
    www.youtube.com/user/SkepticsSpeakOut

    There are more polar bears than ever- this is proof of warming?
    article.nationalreview.com/


    Study finds Ice age didn’t end because of CO2.
    www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp

    A decade of cooling puts lie to the warmer myths
    www.guardian.co.uk/environm...e-weather

    PRUDEN: The killer frost for global warming
    washingtontimes.com/news/200...-warming/

    the hottest year that wasn’t
    www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi

    The sky isn’t falling
    www.worldclimatereport.com/inde...-hit/

    The myth of a worldwide consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming takes another hit as the American Physical Society, an organization representing nearly 50,000 physicists, reverses its position on climate change and starts a public debate on the topic.[1][2][3]
    www.malagent.com/2008/730/...ng-debate/


    American Physical Society: There is a huge debate and nothing is “settled”
    www.aps.org/units/fps/ne...07/editor.cfm

    The Myth of Consensus Explodes
    www.dailytech.com/Myth+of+C...e12403.htm


    Kidney Stones are caused by Global Warming?
    abclocal.go.com/kgo/story

    Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered
    www.aps.org/units/fps/ne.../monckton.cfm










    • Posted by Marc Morano – Marc_Morano@EPW.Senate.Gov - 9:14 PM ET - May 15,

      Climate Momentum Shifting: Prominent Scientists
      Reverse Belief in Man-made Global Warming - Now
      Skeptics


      Growing Number of Scientists Convert to Skeptics After Reviewing New Research

      Following the U.S. Senate's vote today on a global warming measure (see today's AP
      article: Senate Defeats Climate Change Measure,) it is an opportune time to examine
      the recent and quite remarkable momentum shift taking place in climate science. Many
      former believers in catastrophic man-made global warming have recently reversed
      themselves and are now climate skeptics. The names included below are just a sampling
      of the prominent scientists who have spoken out recently to oppose former Vice President
      Al Gore, the United Nations and the media driven “consensus” on man-made global
      warming.

      The list below is just the tip of the iceberg. A more detailed and comprehensive sampling
      of scientists who have only recently spoken out against climate hysteria will be
      forthcoming in a soon to be released U.S. Senate report. Please stay tuned to this website,
      as this new government report is set to redefine the current climate debate.

      In the meantime, please review the list of scientists below and ask yourself why the
      media is missing one of the biggest stories in climate of 2007. Feel free to distribute the
      partial list of scientists who recently converted to skeptics to your local schools and
      universities. The voices of rank and file scientists opposing climate doomsayers can serve
      as a counter to the alarmism that children are being exposed to on a daily basis. (See
      Washington Post April 16, 2007 article about kids fearing of a “climactic Armageddon” )
      The media's climate fear factor seemingly grows louder even as the latest science grows
      less and less alarming by the day. (See Der Spiegel May 7, 2007 article: Not the End of
      the World as We Know It ) It is also worth noting that the proponents of climate fears are
      increasingly attempting to suppress dissent by skeptic. (See UPI May 10, 2007 article:

      U.N. official says it's 'completely immoral' to doubt global warming fears )
      Once Believers, Now Skeptics – ( Link to web version

      epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm
      d_id=927b9303-802a-23ad-494b-dccb00b51a12&Region_id=&Issue_id= )

      Geophysicist Dr. Claude Allegre, a top geophysicist and French Socialist who has
      authored more than 100 scientific articles and written 11 books and received numerous
      scientific awards including the Goldschmidt Medal from the Geochemical Society of the
      United States, converted from climate alarmist to skeptic in 2006. Allegre, who was one
      of the first scientists to sound global warming fears 20 years ago, now says the cause of
      climate change is "unknown" and accused the “prophets of doom of global warming” of
      being motivated by money, noting that "the ecology of helpless protesting has become a
      very lucrative business for some people!" “Glaciers’ chronicles or historical archives
      point to the fact that climate is a capricious phenomena. This fact is confirmed by
      mathematical meteorological theories. So, let us be cautious,” Allegre explained in a
      September 21, 2006 article in the French newspaper L'EXPRESS. The National Post in
      Canada also profiled Allegre on March 2, 2007, noting “Allegre has the highest
      environmental credentials. The author of early environmental books, he fought successful
      battles to protect the ozone layer from CFCs and public health from lead pollution.”
      Allegre now calls fears of a climate disaster "simplistic and obscuring the true dangers”
      mocks "the greenhouse-gas fanatics whose proclamations consist in denouncing man's
      role on the climate without doing anything about it except organizing conferences and
      preparing protocols that become dead letters." Allegre, a member of both the French and

      U.S. Academy of Sciences, had previously expressed concern about manmade global
      warming. "By burning fossil fuels, man enhanced the concentration of carbon dioxide in
      the atmosphere which has raised the global mean temperature by half a degree in the last
      century," Allegre wrote 20 years ago. In addition, Allegre was one of 1500 scientists who
      signed a November 18, 1992 letter titled “World Scientists' Warning to Humanity” in
      which the scientists warned that global warming’s “potential risks are very great.”
      Geologist Bruno Wiskel of the University of Alberta recently reversed his view of
      man-made climate change and instead became a global warming skeptic. Wiskel was
      once such a big believer in man-made global warming that he set out to build a “Kyoto
      house” in honor of the UN sanctioned Kyoto Protocol which was signed in 1997. Wiskel
      wanted to prove that the Kyoto Protocol’s goals were achievable by people making small
      changes in their lives. But after further examining the science behind Kyoto, Wiskel
      reversed his scientific views completely and became such a strong skeptic that he
      recently wrote a book titled “The Emperor's New Climate: Debunking the Myth of
      Global Warming.” A November 15, 2006 Edmonton Sun article explains Wiskel’s
      conversion while building his “Kyoto house”: “Instead, he said he realized global
      warming theory was full of holes and ‘red flags,’ and became convinced that humans are
      not responsible for rising temperatures.” Wiskel now says “the truth has to start
      somewhere.” Noting that the Earth has been warming for 18,000 years, Wiskel told the
      Canadian newspaper, “If this happened once and we were the cause of it, that would be
      cause for concern. But glaciers have been coming and going for billions of years."
      Wiskel also said that global warming has gone "from a science to a religion” and noted
      that research money is being funneled into promoting climate alarmism instead of
      funding areas he considers more worthy. "If you funnel money into things that can't be
      changed, the money is not going into the places that it is needed,” he said.

      Astrophysicist Dr. Nir Shaviv, one of Israel's top young award winning scientists,

      recanted his belief that manmade emissions were driving climate change. ""Like many
      others, I was personally sure that CO2 is the bad culprit in the story of global warming.
      But after carefully digging into the evidence, I realized that things are far more
      complicated than the story sold to us by many climate scientists or the stories regurgitated
      by the media. In fact, there is much more than meets the eye,” Shaviv said in February 2,
      2007 Canadian National Post article. According to Shaviv, the C02 temperature link is
      only “incriminating circumstantial evidence.” "Solar activity can explain a large part of
      the 20th-century global warming" and "it is unlikely that [the solar climate link] does not
      exist,” Shaviv noted pointing to the impact cosmic- rays have on the atmosphere.
      According to the National Post, Shaviv believes that even a doubling of CO2 in the
      atmosphere by 2100 "will not dramatically increase the global temperature." “Even if we
      halved the CO2 output, and the CO2 increase by 2100 would be, say, a 50% increase
      relative to today instead of a doubled amount, the expected reduction in the rise of global
      temperature would be less than 0.5C. This is not significant,” Shaviv explained. Shaviv
      also wrote on August 18, 2006 that a colleague of his believed that “CO2 should have a
      large effect on climate” so “he set out to reconstruct the phanerozoic temperature. He
      wanted to find the CO2 signature in the data, but since there was none, he slowly had to
      change his views.” Shaviv believes there will be more scientists converting to man-made
      global warming skepticism as they discover the dearth of evidence. “I think this is
      common to many of the scientists who think like us (that is, that CO2 is a secondary
      climate driver). Each one of us was working in his or her own niche. While working
      there, each one of us realized that things just don't add up to support the AGW
      (Anthropogenic Global Warming) picture. So many had to change their views,” he wrote.

      Mathematician & engineer Dr. David Evans, who did carbon accounting for the
      Australian Government, recently detailed his conversion to a skeptic. “I devoted six
      years to carbon accounting, building models for the Australian government to estimate
      carbon emissions from land use change and forestry. When I started that job in 1999 the
      evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming seemed pretty conclusive, but
      since then new evidence has weakened the case that carbon emissions are the main cause.
      I am now skeptical,” Evans wrote in an April 30, 2007 blog. “But after 2000 the evidence
      for carbon emissions gradually got weaker -- better temperature data for the last century,
      more detailed ice core data, then laboratory evidence that cosmic rays precipitate low
      clouds,” Evans wrote. “As Lord Keynes famously said, ‘When the facts change, I change
      my mind. What do you do, sir?’” he added. Evans noted how he benefited from man-
      made climate fears as a scientist. “And the political realm in turn fed money back into the
      scientific community. By the late 1990's, lots of jobs depended on the idea that carbon
      emissions caused global warming. Many of them were bureaucratic, but there were a lot
      of science jobs created too. I was on that gravy train, making a high wage in a science job
      that would not have existed if we didn't believe carbon emissions caused global warming.
      And so were lots of people around me; and there were international conferences full of
      such people. And we had political support, the ear of government, big budgets, and we
      felt fairly important and useful (well, I did anyway). It was great. We were working to
      save the planet! But starting in about 2000, the last three of the four pieces of evidence
      outlined above fell away or reversed,” Evans wrote. “The pre-2000 ice core data was the
      central evidence for believing that atmospheric carbon caused temperature increases. The
      new ice core data shows that past warmings were *not* initially caused by rises in
      atmospheric carbon, and says nothing about the strength of any amplification. This piece
      of evidence casts reasonable doubt that atmospheric carbon had any role in past
      warmings, while still allowing the possibility that it had a supporting role,” he added.
      “Unfortunately politics and science have become even more entangled. The science of
      global warming has become a partisan political issue, so positions become more
      entrenched. Politicians and the public prefer simple and less-nuanced messages. At the
      moment the political climate strongly supports carbon emissions as the cause of global
      warming, to the point of sometimes rubbishing or silencing critics,” he concluded. (Evans
      bio link )

      Climate researcher Dr. Tad Murty, former Senior Research Scientist for Fisheries
      and Oceans in Canada, also reversed himself from believer in man-made climate
      change to a skeptic. “I stated with a firm belief about global warming, until I started
      working on it myself,” Murty explained on August 17, 2006. “I switched to the other
      side in the early 1990's when Fisheries and Oceans Canada asked me to prepare a
      position paper and I started to look into the problem seriously,” Murty explained. Murty
      was one of the 60 scientists who wrote an April 6, 2006 letter urging withdrawal of
      Kyoto to Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper which stated in part, "If, back in the
      mid-1990s, we knew what we know today about climate, Kyoto would almost certainly
      not exist, because we would have concluded it was not necessary.”

      Botanist Dr. David Bellamy, a famed UK environmental campaigner, former
      lecturer at Durham University and host of a popular UK TV series on wildlife,
      recently converted into a skeptic after reviewing the science and now calls global
      warming fears "poppycock." According to a May 15, 2005 article in the UK Sunday
      Times, Bellamy said “global warming is largely a natural phenomenon. The world is
      wasting stupendous amounts of money on trying to fix something that can’t be fixed.”
      “The climate-change people have no proof for their claims. They have computer models
      which do not prove anything,” Bellamy added. Bellamy’s conversion on global warming
      did not come without a sacrifice as several environmental groups have ended their
      association with him because of his views on climate change. The severing of relations
      came despite Bellamy’s long activism for green campaigns. The UK Times reported
      Bellamy “won respect from hardline environmentalists with his campaigns to save
      Britain’s peat bogs and other endangered habitats. In Tasmania he was arrested when he
      tried to prevent loggers cutting down a rainforest.”

      Climate scientist Dr. Chris de Freitas of The University of Auckland, N.Z., also
      converted from a believer in man-made global warming to a skeptic. “At first I accepted
      that increases in human caused additions of carbon dioxide and methane in the
      atmosphere would trigger changes in water vapor etc. and lead to dangerous ‘global
      warming,’ But with time and with the results of research, I formed the view that, although
      it makes for a good story, it is unlikely that the man-made changes are drivers of
      significant climate variation.” de Freitas wrote on August 17, 2006. “I accept there may
      be small changes. But I see the risk of anything serious to be minute,” he added. “One
      could reasonably argue that lack of evidence is not a good reason for complacency. But I
      believe the billions of dollars committed to GW research and lobbying for GW and for
      Kyoto treaties etc could be better spent on uncontroversial and very real environmental
      problems (such as air pollution, poor sanitation, provision of clean water and improved
      health services) that we know affect tens of millions of people,” de Freitas concluded. de
      Freitas was one of the 60 scientists who wrote an April 6, 2006 letter urging withdrawal
      of Kyoto to Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper which stated in part, “Significant
      [scientific] advances have been made since the [Kyoto] protocol was created, many of
      which are taking us away from a concern about increasing greenhouse gases.”

      Meteorologist Dr. Reid Bryson, the founding chairman of the Department of
      Meteorology at University of Wisconsin (now the Department of Oceanic and
      Atmospheric Sciences, was pivotal in promoting the coming ice age scare of the 1970’s
      ( See Time Magazine’s 1974 article “Another Ice Age” citing Bryson: & see Newsweek’s
      1975 article “The Cooling World” citing Bryson) has now converted into a leading global
      warming skeptic. In February 8, 2007 Bryson dismissed what he terms "sky is falling"
      man-made global warming fears. Bryson, was on the United Nations Global 500 Roll of
      Honor and was identified by the British Institute of Geographers as the most frequently
      cited climatologist in the world. “Before there were enough people to make any
      difference at all, two million years ago, nobody was changing the climate, yet the climate
      was changing, okay?” Bryson told the May 2007 issue of Energy Cooperative News. “All
      this argument is the temperature going up or not, it’s absurd. Of course it’s going up. It
      has gone up since the early 1800s, before the Industrial Revolution, because we’re
      coming out of the Little Ice Age, not because we’re putting more carbon dioxide into the
      air,” Bryson said. “You can go outside and spit and have the same effect as doubling
      carbon dioxide,” he added. “We cannot say what part of that warming was due to
      mankind's addition of ‘greenhouse gases’ until we consider the other possible factors,
      such as aerosols. The aerosol content of the atmosphere was measured during the past
      century, but to my knowledge this data was never used. We can say that the question of
      anthropogenic modification of the climate is an important question -- too important to
      ignore. However, it has now become a media free-for-all and a political issue more than a
      scientific problem,” Bryson explained in 2005.

      Global warming author and economist Hans H.J. Labohm started out as a man-made
      global warming believer but he later switched his view after conducting climate research.

      Labohm wrote on August 19, 2006, “I started as a anthropogenic global warming
      believer, then I read the [UN’s IPCC] Summary for Policymakers and the research of
      prominent skeptics.” “After that, I changed my mind,” Labohn explained. Labohn coauthored
      the 2004 book “Man-Made Global Warming: Unraveling a Dogma,” with
      chemical engineer Dick Thoenes who was the former chairman of the Royal
      Netherlands Chemical Society. Labohm was one of the 60 scientists who wrote an April
      6, 2006 letter urging withdrawal of Kyoto to Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper
      which stated in part, “’Climate change is real’ is a meaningless phrase used repeatedly by
      activists to convince the public that a climate catastrophe is looming and humanity is the
      cause. Neither of these fears is justified. Global climate changes all the time due to
      natural causes and the human impact still remains impossible to distinguish from this
      natural ‘noise.’”

      Paleoclimatologist Tim Patterson, of Carlton University in Ottawa converted from
      believer in C02 driving the climate change to a skeptic. “I taught my students that CO2
      was the prime driver of climate change,” Patterson wrote on April 30, 2007. Patterson
      said his “conversion” happened following his research on “the nature of paleocommercial
      fish populations in the NE Pacific.” “[My conversion from believer to
      climate skeptic] came about approximately 5-6 years ago when results began to come in
      from a major NSERC (Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada)
      Strategic Project Grant where I was PI (principle investigator),” Patterson explained.
      “Over the course of about a year, I switched allegiances,” he wrote. “As the proxy results
      began to come in, we were astounded to find that paleoclimatic and paleoproductivity
      records were full of cycles that corresponded to various sun-spot cycles. About that time,
      [geochemist] Jan Veizer and others began to publish reasonable hypotheses as to how
      solar signals could be amplified and control climate,” Patterson noted. Patterson says his
      conversion “probably cost me a lot of grant money. However, as a scientist I go where
      the science takes me and not were activists want me to go.” Patterson now asserts that
      more and more scientists are converting to climate skeptics. "When I go to a scientific
      meeting, there's lots of opinion out there, there's lots of discussion (about climate
      change). I was at the Geological Society of America meeting in Philadelphia in the fall
      and I would say that people with my opinion were probably in the majority,” Patterson
      told the Winnipeg Sun on February 13, 2007. Patterson, who believes the sun is
      responsible for the recent warm up of the Earth, ridiculed the environmentalists and the
      media for not reporting the truth. "But if you listen to [Canadian environmental activist
      David] Suzuki and the media, it's like a tiger chasing its tail. They try to outdo each other
      and all the while proclaiming that the debate is over but it isn't -- come out to a scientific
      meeting sometime,” Patterson said. In a separate interview on April 26, 2007 with a
      Canadian newspaper, Patterson explained that the scientific proof favors skeptics. “I
      think the proof in the pudding, based on what (media and governments) are saying, (is)
      we're about three quarters of the way (to disaster) with the doubling of CO2 in the
      atmosphere," he said. “The world should be heating up like crazy by now, and it's not.
      The temperatures match very closely with the solar cycles."

      Physicist Dr. Zbigniew Jaworowski, chairman of the Central Laboratory for the
      United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Radiological Protection in
      Warsaw, took a scientific journey from a believer of man-made climate change in the
      form of global cooling in the 1970’s all the way to converting to a skeptic of current
      predictions of catastrophic man-made global warming. “At the beginning of the 1970s I
      believed in man-made climate cooling, and therefore I started a study on the effects of
      industrial pollution on the global atmosphere, using glaciers as a history book on this
      pollution,” Dr. Jaworowski, wrote on August 17, 2006. “With the advent of man-made
      warming political correctness in the beginning of 1980s, I already had a lot of experience
      with polar and high altitude ice, and I have serious problems in accepting the reliability of
      ice core CO2 studies,” Jaworowski added. Jaworowski, who has published many papers
      on climate with a focus on CO2 measurements in ice cores, also dismissed the UN IPCC
      summary and questioned what the actual level of C02 was in the atmosphere in a March
      16, 2007 report in EIR science entitled “CO2: The Greatest Scientific Scandal of Our
      Time.” “We thus find ourselves in the situation that the entire theory of man-made global
      warming—with its repercussions in science, and its important consequences for politics
      and the global economy—is based on ice core studies that provided a false picture of the
      atmospheric CO2 levels,” Jaworowski wrote. “For the past three decades, these well-
      known direct CO2 measurements, recently compiled and analyzed by Ernst-Georg Beck
      (Beck 2006a, Beck 2006b, Beck 2007), were completely ignored by climatologists—and



      not because they were wrong. Indeed, these measurements were made by several Nobel
      Prize winners, using the techniques that are standard textbook procedures in chemistry,
      biochemistry, botany, hygiene, medicine, nutrition, and ecology. The only reason for
      rejection was that these measurements did not fit the hypothesis of anthropogenic
      climatic warming. I regard this as perhaps the greatest scientific scandal of our time,”
      Jaworowski wrote. “The hypothesis, in vogue in the 1970s, stating that emissions of
      industrial dust will soon induce the new Ice Age, seem now to be a conceited
      anthropocentric exaggeration, bringing into discredit the science of that time. The same
      fate awaits the present,” he added. Jaworowski believes that cosmic rays and solar
      activity are major drivers of the Earth’s climate. Jaworowski was one of the 60 scientists
      who wrote an April 6, 2006 letter urging withdrawal of Kyoto to Canadian prime minister
      Stephen Harper which stated in part: "It may be many years yet before we properly
      understand the Earth's climate system. Nevertheless, significant advances have been
      made since the protocol was created, many of which are taking us away from a concern
      about increasing greenhouse gases."

      Paleoclimatologist Dr. Ian D. Clark, professor of the Department of Earth Sciences
      at University of Ottawa, reversed his views on man-made climate change after further
      examining the evidence. “I used to agree with these dramatic warnings of climate
      disaster. I taught my students that most of the increase in temperature of the past century
      was due to human contribution of C02. The association seemed so clear and simple.
      Increases of greenhouse gases were driving us towards a climate catastrophe,” Clark said
      in a 2005 documentary "Climate Catastrophe Cancelled: What You're Not Being
      Told About the Science of Climate Change.” “However, a few years ago, I decided to
      look more closely at the science and it astonished me. In fact there is no evidence of
      humans being the cause. There is, however, overwhelming evidence of natural causes
      such as changes in the output of the sun. This has completely reversed my views on the
      Kyoto protocol,” Clark explained. “Actually, many other leading climate researchers also
      have serious concerns about the science underlying the [Kyoto] Protocol,” he added.

      Environmental geochemist Dr. Jan Veizer, professor emeritus of University of
      Ottawa, converted from believer to skeptic after conducting scientific studies of climate
      history. “I simply accepted the (global warming) theory as given,” Veizer wrote on April
      30, 2007 about predictions that increasing C02 in the atmosphere was leading to a climate
      catastrophe. “The final conversion came when I realized that the solar/cosmic ray
      connection gave far more consistent picture with climate, over many time scales, than did
      the CO2 scenario,” Veizer wrote. “It was the results of my work on past records, on
      geological time scales, that led me to realize the discrepancies with empirical
      observations. Trying to understand the background issues of modeling led to realization
      of the assumptions and uncertainties involved,” Veizer explained. “The past record
      strongly favors the solar/cosmic alternative as the principal climate driver,” he added.
      Veizer acknowledgez the Earth has been warming and he believes in the scientific value
      of climate modeling. “The major point where I diverge from the IPCC scenario is my
      belief that it underestimates the role of natural variability by proclaiming CO2 to be the
      only reasonable source of additional energy in the planetary balance. Such additional
      energy is needed to drive the climate. The point is that most of the temperature, in both



      nature and models, arises from the greenhouse of water vapor (model language ‘positive
      water vapor feedback’,) Veizer wrote. “Thus to get more temperature, more water vapor
      is needed. This is achieved by speeding up the water cycle by inputting more energy into
      the system,” he continued. “Note that it is not CO2 that is in the models but its presumed
      energy equivalent (model language ‘prescribed CO2’). Yet, the models (and climate)
      would generate a more or less similar outcome regardless where this additional energy is
      coming from. This is why the solar/cosmic connection is so strongly opposed, because it
      can influence the global energy budget which, in turn, diminishes the need for an energy
      input from the CO2 greenhouse,” he wrote.

      More to follow…

      Related Links:

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